Victoria Forex
Monday, 8 February 2016
India’s Economy Is Growing Faster than China’s
According to official figures India’s economy grew at an average rate of 7.5% for the past year, while China’s economy grew at a rate of 6.9%.
India's government said GDP growth in October to December was 7.3%, a slight drop on previous quarters which were revised sharply higher.
Even though the economy lost steam in the last quarter, its pace of expansion was faster than the growth posted by China in the same quarter.
India measures the economy over a fiscal rather than a calendar year.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government said growth for the fiscal year ending March 2016 is forecast to accelerate to 7.6%.
However, some economists say the latest growth figures are at odds with other data for Asia's third largest economy, including weak exports, railway freight, cement production and investment and flat order books.
Ritika Mankar, an economist at Ambit Capital, said: "The new GDP series and the information it is conveying, not just in terms of level but also in terms of the direction, seems counterintuitive."
Shubhada Rao, chief economist at Yes Bank in Mumbai, said the figures were "difficult to correlate" with other data, including a contraction in agriculture.
A year ago India's statistics ministry revised GDP growth rates higher - closer to that of China - by updating the base year used for price comparisons.
It's fair to say there's been a lot of scepticism about India's GDP data since the government revised the way it calculates those numbers in January last year.
Many economists have said that they don't see this rapid pace of growth reflected on the ground.
But all of them also say that there's no dispute India's economy is expanding, making it a rare bright spot among emerging nations.
2 comments:
Unknown
9 February 2016 at 11:33
Nicely spotted post.
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Unknown
9 February 2016 at 15:22
So should we trust the number or not?
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Nicely spotted post.
ReplyDeleteSo should we trust the number or not?
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